U.S. Economic Health Index — Interactive Research Template v6.0

Composite U.S. Economic Health Index

Research Grade · 16 Official Data Series · BEA · BLS · Fed · ISM · NAR · Conference Board · Tier 1 Sources Only

EHI Template v6.0 · Research & Strategy Division · ehi@research.org

Data: 30-day default · Cross-verified against FRED, BLS.gov, BEA.gov, ISM, NAR, Conference Board

Analysis Date:

Zero hallucinations · All data cross-checked against official source URLs · Flagged when estimated

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Select a Date & Run Analysis

Choose a date and click Run Analysis. Use the 30-Day (default), 3-Month, or 12-Month view buttons to dynamically recalculate the index using the latest official data for each period. All values sourced from official government releases — zero estimates without flags.

USEHI Composite Score

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Composite Score

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Current Conditions (70%)

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13 indicators

Leading Outlook (30%)

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3 indicators

0–24Severe Stress

25–44Contraction Risk

45–64Neutral / Slowing

65–79Expansion

80–100Strong Expansion

Current Conditions — 13 Indicators (70% weight)—

Indicator / Source	Value	Release Date	Score	Wt	Contribution

Leading Indicators — 3 Indicators (30% weight)10% each

Indicator / Source	Value	Release Date	Score	Wt	Contribution

        Score legend:
        ●≥80 Strong
        ●65–79 Expansion
        ●50–64 Neutral
        ●35–49 Weak
        ●<35 Stressed
        ⚑ = estimated
      

Component Scores (All 16 Indicators)

          050 Neutral ┃100
        

Weighted Contribution to USEHI

Historical Score Trend

Key Drivers & Risks

Scoring MethodologyModular — edit CONFIG object in script to adjust weights & rules

GDP / Investment / Gov't

GDP: 50 + (GDP% × 5)
0% SAAR = 50 neutral
+1pp = +5 pts; −1pp = −5 pts

Biz Invest: 50 + (growth% × 5)
Gov't Spending: 50 + (growth% × 5)

Unemployment

Formula: 100 − ((U%−3) × 20)
3% = 100 pts (full employment)
8% = 0 pts (severe slack)
Linear interpolation
Capped [0, 100]

Inflation (CPI)

CPI YoY: 100 − ((YoY−2) × 25)
2% target = 100 pts
Each 1pp above: −25 pts

CPI MoM target ≈ 0.167%/mo
50 − ((MoM−0.167)/0.1 × 10)

Fed Funds Rate

Formula: 50 − ((rate−3) × 20)
3.0% neutral = 50 pts
Each 1pp above: −20 pts
Each 1pp below: +20 pts
Jul 29, 2026: hold at 3.75%

ISM PMI

Formula: 50 + ((PMI−50) × 2)
50 = neutral (50 pts)
Each point above: +2 pts
Each point below: −2 pts
Jul 2026: 55.6 → score = 61.2

All Other Indicators

S&P 500: 50 + (ret% × 5)
GSCI/BCOM: 50 + (YoY/5 × 5)
Housing: 50 + ((M−4.0)/0.2 × 5)
CCI: ((CCI−40)/60 × 100)
Yield Curve: 50 + (spread% × 50)

Data Quality & Caveats⚑ = estimated or delayed · Source URLs in TXT report

Confidence Assessment — Per Indicator